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 国际货币基金组织认为石油危机影响全球经济


financialmirror.com    2011/4/12 9:52:58

IMF sees oil, commodities as risks to global economy

The IMF sees new risks to the global economy from a rise in the price of oil and other raw materials, a senior German official said on Monday.

Speaking ahead of a meeting of G20 ministers later this week at the spring meetings of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank in Washington, the official also said G8 finance ministers would hold a special meeting on Thursday to discuss the situation in the Middle East and North Africa.

"The IMF sees a new threat, namely the possibility of price shocks from raw materials, especially oil," the official said, requesting anonymity.

Conflicts in the region, notably in Libya, have helped push oil prices to 2-1/2 year highs.

The IMF publishes its world economic outlook at 1400 GMT and the official said the fund now sees downside risks to its outlook, pointing in particular to high sovereign debt levels.

The official said the IMF would make the point that neither Japan nor the United states had formulated a successful medium-term strategy for budget consoliation.

On Saturday, U.S. President Barack Obama signed a short-term spending bill that averted a government shutdown, formalising a compromise deal with Republicans that paves the way for more, and bigger, deficit-reduction fights to come.

On Japan, the IMF estimates the economic impact of the earthquake and tsunami at 3-5 percent of the country's gross domestic product (GDP), the official added, noting that the full consequences were still difficult to predict due to uncertainties about the nuclear disaster that resulted.

The official said he expected G20 progress in Washington on country-specific "indicative guidelines" for addressing global economic imbalances.

In an interview published earlier in the Monday edition of the Financial Times Deutschland, the head of the IMF, Dominique Strauss-Kahn, said parts of Germany's banking sector still need restructuring but the costs involved should be fairly modest.

The IMF will warn about the fragility of some banking sectors but will not name countries, the German official said, acknowledging, however, that Germany was a source of concern in that regard.

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国际货币基金组织认为石油危机影响全球经济
国际货币基金组织认为,从一个在石油和其他原材料价格上涨带来新的风险,对全球经济,一位德国高级官员周一表示。

在谈到20国集团部长会议的在国际货币基金组织和世界银行春季会议在华盛顿本周晚些时候之前,这位官员还表示,八国集团财长将在周四举行特别会议,讨论在中东和北非局势非洲。

“基金组织看到了新的威胁,即从原料,特别是石油价格冲击的可能性,”这位官员说,要求匿名。

在该地区的冲突,特别是在利比亚,帮助推动原油价格两年半高点。

国际货币基金组织发表于格林威治时间1400,它的世界经济前景和官员表示,该基金目前预计其前景的下行风险,尤其是指向高主权债务水平。

这位官员表示,国际货币基金组织将进行的是,无论日本还是美国已经制定了一项成功的中期预算consoliation战略点。

上周六,美国总统奥巴马签署了一项短期的支出法案,避免了一场政府停工,正式与共和党妥协的协议,铺平了道路,获得更多,更大,赤字减少的方式来打架。

在日本,国际货币基金组织估计,地震和海啸在3-5该国国内生产总值(GDP)的百分之经济的影响,这位官员补充说,并指出全部后果仍难预料由于对核灾难的不确定性而导致的。

这位官员说,他预计20国集团解决全球经济失衡的国家在特定的“指示性准则”华盛顿进展。

在发表在德国金融时报,国际货币基金组织,斯特劳斯卡恩头,周一版的早期接受采访时表示,德国银行业的部分仍然需要调整,但所涉及的成本应该是相当温和的。

IMF将发出警告,一些银行部门的脆弱性,但不会指名道姓的国家,德国官员说,承认,但是,德国是一个在这方面的关切。

我也来补充两句>>  

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